Analyzing Premier League defenses
I’m considering the Premier League records for fewest goals conceded. Chelsea holds the record with 15 goals in the 2004-05 season. Next are teams like Liverpool and Manchester United, but those stats could vary after my last knowledge cutoff. The user mentioned Shearer’s prediction, so I can analyze that without needing to browse the web. It would also be good to mention Arsenal's performance under Arteta last season, where they conceded 29 goals. I’ll double-check that.Discussing Arsenal's defense

I’m considering Arsenal's goals allowed for the 2023-24 season, which I think is 29. They conceded 43 in the 2022-23 season and had quite a few clean sheets in spring 2024. Breaking Chelsea's record of 15 goals conceded is tough. If Arsenal had 9 by December, it might be feasible, but since it’s now December 2025, I can't assume their current status. The user might want to discuss tactics or context, so I can offer both options.Summarizing Premier League records
I’m outlining some key facts: Chelsea holds the Premier League record for fewest goals conceded at 15 during the 2004-05 season. To break that, Arsenal would need to concede 14 or fewer, which means a rate of 0.37 per game or less. Recently, top defenses like Liverpool in 2018-19 conceded 22, and Manchester City conceded 23. I think Arsenal's best in recent seasons was around 26 to 29. I'll ask the user if they want current season numbers to check if Arsenal is on pace.Discussing Arsenal's defensive challenges
I’m outlining why it’s plausible for Arsenal to achieve a low goals against tally, considering their structure, pressing metrics, and the synergy between Saliba and Gabriel, along with low set-piece goals conceded. However, it’s hard to maintain that due to factors like variance, penalties, schedule congestion, injuries, refereeing decisions, and game state when leading. If they want to concede just 14 goals in a 38-game season, they’d need about 24 clean sheets, close to the record of 25 by Cech in 2004-05. Should I compare this with their current goals against and run projections based on expected goals against?Opening with Shearer’s perspective
I’m planning to respond briefly to the user's reference to Shearer and fact-check the record for the fewest goals conceded in the Premier League, which is 15 by Chelsea in the 2004-05 season.
To break this record, we need to discuss the required pace and the number of clean sheets necessary. I’ll highlight the strengths of Arsenal’s defense under Arteta, like the high line with Saliba and Gabriel, and the strong pressing and set-piece tactics. I should also mention obstacles while offering to provide up-to-date numbers if they want to know the current goals conceded or check the pace.
看点在这儿:

需要的话,我可以基于本赛季阿森纳当前的失球数,给你算“打破纪录所需的剩余场均失球上限”和一个简易概率判断。告诉我他们现在联赛失球多少、踢了几轮,或者要我查实时数据也行。
